New series of swing state polls shows Trump with lead in all 7

Published on 1 May 2024 at 06:58

Photo by: Politics on the Go 24/7 News

A new series of polls released on Tuesday by the Hill/Emerson, show former President Donald Trump leading in all 7 of the swing states, his lead is within the margin of error in some of these states however.

Here are how voters said they would cast their ballots presently based on the slew of polls released:

Arizona:

In Arizona, Donald Trump holds a 4-point lead over Joe Biden, the poll found that 44% would support Trump, 40% would support Biden, 9% would support Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and 1% each said they would support Jill Stein or Cornel West. Another poll that only included Trump and Biden found Trump maintains his 4-point lead in a one-on-one matchup. In the one on one poll Trump received support from 48% of those polled and Biden received 44%.

Georgia:

In Georgia, a state Biden narrowly won in 2020, Donald Trump holds a 6-point lead over Joe Biden in a 5-way matchup.  Of those polled 45% would vote for Trump, 39% would vote for Biden, 5% would vote for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and 2% each said they would vote for Jill Stein or Cornel West. Another poll that only included Trump and Biden found Trump's 6-point lead shrinks to a 3-point lead in a one-on-one matchup. Of those polled, 47% said they would vote for Trump and 44% would vote for Biden. Trumps lead in a one-on-one matchup is within the margin of error.

Michigan

In Michigan, Donald Trump holds a very small 1-point lead over Joe Biden in a 5-way matchup and one on one matchup.  Of those polled 43% would vote for Trump, 42% would vote for Biden, 5% would vote for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and 1% each said they would vote for Jill Stein or Cornel West. A one-on-one matchup showed 45% said they would vote for Trump and 44% would vote for Biden. Trumps lead in both polls is within the margin of error.

Nevada:

In Nevada, Donald Trump holds a 5-point lead over Joe Biden in a 5-way matchup.  Of those polled 42% would vote for Trump, 37% would vote for Biden, 8% would vote for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and 2% each said they would vote for Jill Stein or Cornel West. Another poll that only included Trump and Biden found Trump's 5-point lead shrinks to just a 1 point lead in a one-on-one matchup. Of those polled, 45% said they would vote for Trump and 44% would vote for Biden. Trumps lead in a one-on-one matchup is within the margin of error.

North Carolina

In North Carolina, Donald Trump holds a 9-point lead over Joe Biden in a 5-way matchup.  Of those polled 46% would vote for Trump, 37% would vote for Biden, 6% would vote for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and 2% each said they would vote for Jill Stein or Cornel West. Another poll that only included Trump and Biden found Trump's 9-point lead shrinks to a 5-point lead in a one-on-one matchup. Of those polled, 47% said they would vote for Trump and 42% would vote for Biden. 

Pennsylvania

In Pennsylvania, Donald Trump holds a 4-point lead over Joe Biden in a 5-way matchup.  Of those polled 45% would vote for Trump, 41% would vote for Biden, 6% would vote for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and 1% each said they would vote for Jill Stein or Cornel West. Another poll that only included Trump and Biden found Trump's 4-point lead shrinks to a 2-point lead in a one-on-one matchup. Of those polled, 47% said they would vote for Trump and 45% would vote for Biden. Trumps lead in a one-on-one matchup is within the margin of error.

Wisconsin:

In Wisconsin, Donald Trump holds a 5-point lead over Joe Biden in a 5-way matchup.  Of those polled 45% would vote for Trump, 40% would vote for Biden, 6% would vote for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and 1% each said they would vote for Jill Stein or Cornel West. Another poll that only included Trump and Biden found Trump's 5-point lead shrinks to a 2-point lead in a one-on-one matchup. Of those polled, 47% said they would vote for Trump and 45% would vote for Biden. Trumps lead in a one-on-one matchup is within the margin of error.

The Hill/Emerson poll has a margin of error of +/- 3%, polled 1,00 voters, and was posted on April 30, 2024, by Real Clear Politics. You will find the full polling data at the link below.

(Graphics include data from the pollster listed, and are developed by Politics on the Go 24/7 News)

Data Source:

Latest Polls 2024 | RealClearPolling

Trump Holds Edge Over Biden in Seven Key Swing State Polls - Emerson Polling (emersoncollegepolling.com)